Live · Fed Policy · Inflation · Yield Curve · Geopolitical

The Macro Economic Tracker That Translates Global Shifts into Market Language

The Macro Compass monitors the economic forces that move markets — Fed policy, inflation expectations, yield curve shape, USD, gold, and geopolitical risk — and distills them into a severity-ranked feed with plain-English "What It Means for Markets" summaries.

Every event is tagged CRITICAL, HIGH, MEDIUM, or LOW and archived in a timeline. No raw data parsing, no chart-reading — just the signal, the severity, and what you should know about it.

What the Macro Compass Tracks

Federal Reserve Policy

Rate decisions, dot plot shifts, QE/QT signals, Fed speaker analysis — with severity tagging and historical context.

Inflation Expectations

Breakeven inflation rates, PCE/CPI trends, real yield calculations, and forward pricing of inflation expectations.

Yield Curve Signals

2s10s and 3m10y spread monitoring, inversion alerts, and historical recession signal context.

Dollar & Currency Macro

DXY trend, major currency moves (EUR, JPY, CNY), de-dollarization signals, and currency war indicators.

Geopolitical Risk Events

CRITICAL geopolitical events with direct market impact assessments — tagged by asset class affected and estimated impact magnitude.

Plain-English "What It Means"

Every event has a 2-sentence summary: what happened and what it means for equities, bonds, gold, and commodities — no finance degree required.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Macro Compass track?

The Macro Compass monitors the macro events most likely to move markets: Federal Reserve policy shifts (rate decisions, QE/QT signals), inflation expectation breakevens, yield curve shape (2s10s spread, inversion signals), USD index movements, gold and commodity macro signals, geopolitical risk events, and central bank activity across 10+ major economies. Every event is tagged with severity (LOW/MEDIUM/HIGH/CRITICAL) and a plain-English "What It Means" summary.

How is this different from Bloomberg or a financial news feed?

Bloomberg gives you raw data and headlines that require interpretation. The Macro Compass uses AI to classify, prioritize, and summarize each macro event into a 2-sentence "what this means for markets" — so you spend 5 minutes getting oriented rather than 3 hours reading.

How often is the Macro Compass updated?

The underlying macro event data is refreshed daily. The AI synthesis runs each weekday morning, producing a structured feed ordered by severity with the most market-critical events at the top. Historical events are archived in a timeline going back through the current cycle.

Does the Macro Compass connect to the AI Stock Analyst?

Yes — the AI Stock Analyst automatically pulls the latest Macro Compass context when analyzing any ticker. The 9-factor confluence score includes a macro factor that weighs the current macro regime (risk-on vs. risk-off, inflationary vs. deflationary) against the position being analyzed.

What macro events are considered "CRITICAL" severity?

CRITICAL events are macro developments that have historically caused >5% S&P 500 moves within 5 trading days: Fed emergency cuts/hikes, sovereign debt events, oil supply disruptions exceeding 2M bpd, banking system stress indicators, and major geopolitical escalations involving nuclear powers or global shipping lanes.

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